A method, system, and computer-readable medium are described for characterizing performance loss of an object undergoing an arbitrary aging condition. The method comprises collecting baseline aging data from the object for at least one known baseline aging condition over time, determining baseline multiple sigmoid model parameters from the baseline data, and determining performance loss data of the object over time through multiple sigmoid model parameters associated with the object undergoing the arbitrary aging condition using a differential deviation-from-baseline approach from the baseline multiple sigmoid model parameters. The system comprises an object, monitoring hardware configured to sample performance characteristics of the object, and a processor coupled to the monitoring hardware. The processor is configured to determine performance loss data for the arbitrary aging condition from a comparison of the performance characteristics of the object deviating from baseline performance characteristics associated with a baseline aging condition.
 This invention was made with government support under Contract Number DE-AC07-05ID14517 awarded by the United States Department of Energy. The government has certain rights in the invention.